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France, Barnier government at risk: clash over social security budget
The French prime minister uses Article 49.3 of the Constitution to approve the manoeuvre without a parliamentary vote. Oppositions rise up with motions of censure. Macron on a visit to Saudi Arabia watches from afar
Political tension grows in France around the social security budget. Prime Minister Michel Barnier has decided to use Article 49.3 of the Constitution, a measure that allows a law to be passed without a parliamentary vote, thus assuming full political responsibility for the decision. This move, which according to Barnier was necessary to avoid institutional paralysis and ensure a responsible budget for the country, provoked a strong reaction from the opposition.
The Rassemblement National, led by Jordan Bardella, announced its support for the censure motions against the government. Marine Le Pen also severely criticised the manoeuvre, considering it deeply unfair and accusing Barnier of ignoring the demands of the millions of voters who were asking for changes, such as waiving the partial de-indexing of pensions.
Also joining the criticism was the French left, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon calling the Barnier government unsustainable and calling for radical change, also pointing the finger at President Emmanuel Macron, considered to be the main culprit of the political and financial crisis.
Next steps and possible scenarios
The oppositions now have 24 hours to officially present their motions of censure, which could be voted on as early as the next few days. If approved, the government would be challenged, forcing Macron to appoint a new prime minister. However, given the current political complexity, finding a replacement could prove to be a challenge, leaving several scenarios open.
If a new government could not be formed by December, the 2024 budget could be postponed through a special law, or the situation could precipitate to an administrative shutdown, which has never happened in the history of the Fifth Republic.
Meanwhile, Macron is on a state visit to Saudi Arabia, where the focus remains on economic and geopolitical issues. The Elysée stressed that the visit is an opportunity to strengthen the partnership between Paris and Riyadh, but the shadow of the internal crisis risks clouding diplomatic achievements.
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