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Ingv president comments on the devastating earthquake in Asia: ‘Difficult to explain damage over 1,300 km away, local amplification effect likely’

The violent 7.7-magnitude earthquake that struck Myanmar continues to provoke debate in the scientific community. Carlo Doglioni, president of the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (Ingv) in Italy, said he was surprised by the collapses in Bangkok, more than 1,300 kilometres away from the epicentre. ‘It is as if an earthquake in Palermo caused buildings in Munich to collapse,’ he said in Repubblica.

Doglioni speculates that the effect is due to a local amplification phenomenon, as the Thai capital is located on alluvial soil that could have enhanced the propagation of seismic waves. The earthquake, with an epicentre estimated to be between 15 and 24 km deep, was classified as superficial, increasing the risk of extensive damage.

The expert recalled that events of this magnitude can have devastating consequences, as happened with the earthquake in Turkey in 2023. ‘In Italy the seismic risk exists, but the velocities of plate movement are ten times lower than in the Asian area. However, statistically, we can expect between 20 and 24 earthquakes of magnitude greater than 5.5 per century’.

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